Autumn Approach
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (11 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 14
Defender wins (German): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 954 | 50% | 2024-04-02 | Lost |
1058 | 1064 | 49% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
885 | 1060 | 27% | 2023-02-05 | Lost |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2022-10-26 | Won |
948 | 955 | 49% | 2022-09-21 | Lost |
1073 | 1211 | 31% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
1034 | 1159 | 33% | 2022-01-02 | Won |
1032 | 1047 | 48% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
982 | 1169 | 25% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
1055 | 1046 | 51% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
1154 | 857 | 85% | 2021-05-11 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1020.5 vs 1041.3 has a 47.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).