Autumn Approach
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (12 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 15
Defender wins (German): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 883 | 906 | 47% | 2024-04-02 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1124 | 39% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 866 | 1045 | 26% | 2023-02-05 | Lost |
| 1045 | 938 | 65% | 2022-10-26 | Won |
| 885 | 960 | 39% | 2022-09-21 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1218 | 35% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1173 | 31% | 2022-01-02 | Won |
| 1062 | 1047 | 52% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1018 | 920 | 64% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1064 | 51% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1193 | 880 | 86% | 2021-05-11 | Won |
| 1055 | 992 | 59% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1022.1 vs 1022.3 has a 49.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).