Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Norwegian/Swedish): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 969 | 46% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 948 | 948 | 50% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
| 955 | 948 | 51% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1018 | 948 | 60% | 2022-04-15 | Won |
| 854 | 1140 | 16% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 854 | 1140 | 16% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1075 | 47% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 1005 | 1035 | 46% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
| 969 | 983 | 48% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 955.2 vs 1020.7 has a 40.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).