Hedgehog
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1016 | 1014 | 50% | 2024-05-28 | Won |
934 | 940 | 49% | 2023-08-17 | Lost |
1133 | 1115 | 53% | 2023-04-05 | Won |
1179 | 1116 | 59% | 2020-09-08 | Won |
995 | 990 | 51% | 2020-07-10 | Lost |
995 | 934 | 59% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
1040 | 1014 | 54% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1041.7 vs 1017.6 has a 53.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).