The Martinofen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 929 | 946 | 48% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 1031 | 984 | 57% | 2022-06-28 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2022-01-24 | Won |
| 1150 | 937 | 77% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1000 | 1092 | 37% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
| 906 | 849 | 58% | 2021-01-04 | Lost |
| 970 | 1130 | 28% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
| 913 | 888 | 54% | 2019-09-19 | Won |
| 1036 | 1128 | 37% | 2019-02-16 | Lost |
| 1119 | 839 | 83% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1009.5 vs 983.4 has a 53.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).