Bread Factory #2
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 5
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 1005 | 45% | 2024-10-28 | Lost |
| 938 | 1045 | 35% | 2023-05-29 | Won |
| 994 | 977 | 52% | 2023-05-26 | Lost |
| 1062 | 959 | 64% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2022-01-03 | Won |
| 1028 | 966 | 59% | 2021-09-25 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-01-22 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1173 | 31% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 961 | 1009 | 43% | 2020-11-13 | Lost |
| 917 | 892 | 54% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1034 | 65% | 2019-08-02 | Won |
| 613 | 881 | 18% | 2019-07-13 | Won |
| 968 | 1017 | 43% | 2019-02-23 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 986.5 vs 1011.3 has a 46.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).