Winter's Fury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (8 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 8
Defender wins (American): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1033 | 54% | 2024-03-21 | Lost |
| 926 | 1183 | 19% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
| 907 | 1063 | 29% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 907 | 1063 | 29% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 1216 | 982 | 79% | 2020-09-30 | Won |
| 1216 | 981 | 79% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
| 1216 | 981 | 79% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1075 vs 1029.3 has a 56.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).