Death to Fascism
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (15 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 42
Defender wins (Rumanian): 35
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Rumanian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1398 | 1092 | 85% | 2024-05-25 | Won |
1011 | 1074 | 41% | 2023-06-14 | Won |
1169 | 1225 | 42% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
964 | 1037 | 40% | 2021-11-12 | Lost |
1063 | 929 | 68% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
1141 | 1141 | 50% | 2019-07-26 | Lost |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2018-12-21 | Lost |
1311 | 1209 | 64% | 2018-12-07 | Lost |
1138 | 1120 | 53% | 2018-11-30 | Won |
1081 | 1307 | 21% | 2018-11-07 | Lost |
1075 | 1149 | 40% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
1109 | 960 | 70% | 2018-10-25 | Won |
1105 | 1003 | 64% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
1273 | 985 | 84% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1123.2 vs 1085.7 has a 55.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).