Death to Fascism
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (17 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 37
Defender wins (Romanian): 42
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Romanian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1405 | 1091 | 86% | 2024-05-25 | Won |
| 1027 | 1047 | 47% | 2023-06-14 | Won |
| 938 | 1223 | 16% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1048 | 66% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 913 | 1036 | 33% | 2021-11-12 | Lost |
| 1068 | 861 | 77% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 1009 | 945 | 59% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 1166 | 1158 | 51% | 2019-07-26 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2018-12-21 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1174 | 69% | 2018-12-07 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1138 | 38% | 2018-11-30 | Won |
| 1096 | 1302 | 23% | 2018-11-07 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1147 | 53% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1195 | 929 | 82% | 2018-10-25 | Won |
| 1114 | 1048 | 59% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1064 | 999 | 59% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1254 | 1023 | 79% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1114.1 vs 1069 has a 56.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).