Graveyard Shift
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (20 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 36
Defender wins (German): 15
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 954 | 62% | 2025-10-10 | Won |
| 966 | 844 | 67% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 1172 | 1171 | 50% | 2023-10-14 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2023-09-13 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1038 | 49% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1037 | 46% | 2022-05-21 | Won |
| 1044 | 1163 | 34% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 1157 | 1218 | 41% | 2020-04-12 | Won |
| 1102 | 1099 | 50% | 2020-04-02 | Won |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2020-03-15 | Won |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 1102 | 884 | 78% | 2019-07-01 | Won |
| 1131 | 1138 | 49% | 2019-05-21 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1019 | 67% | 2019-02-17 | Won |
| 1012 | 879 | 68% | 2019-02-03 | Won |
| 876 | 1040 | 28% | 2019-01-15 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1012 | 71% | 2018-12-10 | Won |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1123 | 1303 | 26% | 2018-10-07 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1015 | 50% | 2018-08-25 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1070.6 vs 1042.2 has a 54.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).