First Bayonet Charge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (10 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (OUNC): 15
Defender wins (North Korean): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (OUNC): 0
Defender wins (North Korean): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 848 | 64% | 2024-12-14 | Lost |
| 858 | 1055 | 24% | 2024-10-28 | Lost |
| 1011 | 880 | 68% | 2020-07-11 | Lost |
| 1077 | 966 | 65% | 2019-06-21 | Won |
| 1009 | 1087 | 39% | 2019-05-30 | Lost |
| 1140 | 968 | 73% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
| 1045 | 938 | 65% | 2018-06-29 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1084 | 47% | 2018-05-13 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1035 | 45% | 2018-04-15 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1017.1 vs 976.8 has a 55.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).