Balloons, Cakes and Ponies
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (7 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 953 | 68% | 2024-12-02 | Won |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1077 | 58% | 2018-11-22 | Lost |
| 953 | 1140 | 25% | 2018-08-30 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1016 | 57% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 1274 | 934 | 88% | 2018-06-29 | Lost |
| 948 | 1200 | 19% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1086.9 vs 1038.3 has a 56.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).