Ghostly Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (8 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1020 | 989 | 54% | 2023-04-15 | Won |
886 | 851 | 55% | 2023-04-15 | Lost |
1128 | 1003 | 67% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
1144 | 856 | 84% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
1019 | 1001 | 53% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2018-03-21 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2018-03-01 | Lost |
1047 | 1283 | 20% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1068.4 vs 1019.6 has a 56.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).