Lunch in Luga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (12 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1055 | 56% | 2023-12-21 | Lost |
| 1173 | 969 | 76% | 2023-08-28 | Won |
| 974 | 1007 | 45% | 2023-07-31 | Lost |
| 973 | 937 | 55% | 2020-03-18 | Lost |
| 973 | 1173 | 24% | 2019-10-21 | Lost |
| 953 | 1140 | 25% | 2018-08-30 | Lost |
| 984 | 1087 | 36% | 2018-08-03 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 975 | 885 | 63% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
| 948 | 1018 | 40% | 2017-10-08 | Lost |
| 897 | 1218 | 14% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1022.4 vs 1055 has a 45.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).