The First Virtue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (21 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 39
Defender wins (German): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 937 | 60% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2023-03-09 | Won |
| 1113 | 1001 | 66% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 866 | 1045 | 26% | 2022-09-11 | Lost |
| 963 | 971 | 49% | 2020-12-15 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1033 | 54% | 2020-11-26 | Lost |
| 1018 | 983 | 55% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
| 898 | 937 | 44% | 2018-06-14 | Won |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 948 | 972 | 47% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 1045 | 938 | 65% | 2017-11-17 | Lost |
| 966 | 916 | 57% | 2017-11-16 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 948 | 1218 | 17% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
| 1055 | 918 | 69% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 906 | 1043 | 31% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
| 1216 | 1057 | 71% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1063 | 985 | 61% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1064 | 981 | 62% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1022 | 59% | 2017-10-02 | Lost |
| 907 | 999 | 37% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1034.7 vs 1011.3 has a 53.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).