The First Virtue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (20 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 24
Defender wins (German): 44
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 929 | 60% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2023-03-09 | Won |
1114 | 1000 | 66% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
885 | 1060 | 27% | 2022-09-11 | Lost |
963 | 970 | 49% | 2020-12-15 | Lost |
1087 | 1034 | 58% | 2020-11-26 | Lost |
1014 | 990 | 53% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
896 | 943 | 43% | 2018-06-14 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
1003 | 972 | 54% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2017-11-17 | Lost |
1019 | 916 | 64% | 2017-11-16 | Won |
1016 | 917 | 64% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
1003 | 1211 | 23% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
1059 | 906 | 71% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
1283 | 1047 | 80% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
1069 | 984 | 62% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
1066 | 979 | 62% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
1089 | 985 | 65% | 2017-10-02 | Lost |
964 | 1014 | 43% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1054.5 vs 1011 has a 56.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).