Gavin Take
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (18 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 34
Defender wins (German): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1027 | 1003 | 53% | 2024-01-14 | Won |
1021 | 1050 | 46% | 2023-07-24 | Lost |
1004 | 940 | 59% | 2023-02-07 | Lost |
940 | 1004 | 41% | 2023-02-07 | Lost |
964 | 1003 | 44% | 2023-01-03 | Won |
998 | 954 | 56% | 2022-07-24 | Won |
1003 | 954 | 57% | 2022-04-24 | Won |
1068 | 991 | 61% | 2021-12-28 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2020-07-16 | Won |
1036 | 989 | 57% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
964 | 924 | 56% | 2020-03-08 | Won |
989 | 1109 | 33% | 2019-11-04 | Lost |
1144 | 986 | 71% | 2019-06-03 | Won |
1003 | 1039 | 45% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
1003 | 1039 | 45% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
1002 | 943 | 58% | 2019-01-12 | Lost |
964 | 1032 | 40% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
932 | 1003 | 40% | 2017-05-22 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1003.6 vs 1007.8 has a 49.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).