Fireball!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (7 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 1045 | 46% | 2023-03-31 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
| 1037 | 938 | 64% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
| 933 | 1037 | 35% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
| 1037 | 1014 | 53% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1012 | 60% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1048 | 66% | 2017-11-24 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1038.4 vs 1013.7 has a 53.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).