Fireball!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (7 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 966 | 58% | 2023-03-31 | Lost |
| 991 | 1023 | 45% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
| 995 | 1022 | 46% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1063 | 55% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
| 996 | 954 | 56% | 2017-11-24 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1020.1 vs 1004 has a 52.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).