Fireball!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (7 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1050 | 44% | 2023-03-31 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1024 | 53% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
| 1018 | 939 | 61% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
| 934 | 1018 | 38% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
| 1018 | 1014 | 51% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1003 | 54% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1126 | 60% | 2017-11-24 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1036.3 vs 1024.9 has a 51.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).