Corridor To Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (22 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 42
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1027 | 953 | 60% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
1027 | 1018 | 51% | 2024-04-15 | Won |
1041 | 1063 | 47% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
994 | 1012 | 47% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
1147 | 1178 | 46% | 2020-07-18 | Won |
1055 | 1047 | 51% | 2020-07-10 | Lost |
1171 | 1014 | 71% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
1117 | 994 | 67% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
963 | 896 | 60% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
1009 | 1117 | 35% | 2020-06-23 | Lost |
958 | 1000 | 44% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
1009 | 1004 | 51% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
1004 | 1097 | 37% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
1007 | 917 | 63% | 2019-01-20 | Lost |
1081 | 980 | 64% | 2018-12-20 | Won |
1001 | 1115 | 34% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
1323 | 992 | 87% | 2018-01-04 | Won |
1214 | 1006 | 77% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
1015 | 934 | 61% | 2017-03-31 | Won |
1014 | 1171 | 29% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
1027 | 1018 | 51% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
961 | 1001 | 44% | 2017-01-21 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1053 vs 1024 has a 54.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).