Corridor To Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (23 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 41
Defender wins (German (SS)): 48
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1148 | 959 | 75% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
1148 | 994 | 71% | 2024-04-15 | Won |
1050 | 1063 | 48% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
1019 | 1010 | 51% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
1140 | 1140 | 50% | 2020-07-18 | Won |
1044 | 1064 | 47% | 2020-07-12 | Won |
1055 | 1041 | 52% | 2020-07-10 | Lost |
1200 | 948 | 81% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
920 | 996 | 39% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
937 | 895 | 56% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
1009 | 920 | 63% | 2020-06-23 | Lost |
958 | 1022 | 41% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
907 | 1009 | 36% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
1009 | 1087 | 39% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
1026 | 917 | 65% | 2019-01-20 | Lost |
1140 | 953 | 75% | 2018-12-20 | Won |
1045 | 1099 | 42% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
1310 | 992 | 86% | 2018-01-04 | Won |
1183 | 1010 | 73% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
1003 | 948 | 58% | 2017-03-31 | Won |
948 | 1200 | 19% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
1148 | 994 | 71% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
938 | 1045 | 35% | 2017-01-21 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1055.9 vs 1013.3 has a 56.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).