Propitious Arrival
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (3 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (French): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1033 | 987 | 57% | 2024-04-28 | Lost |
| 1148 | 904 | 80% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1160 | 1048 | 66% | 2017-11-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1113.7 vs 979.7 has a 68.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).