Hitdorf on the Rhine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (11 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
982 | 963 | 53% | 2024-06-15 | Lost |
919 | 929 | 49% | 2022-10-31 | Lost |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2021-04-05 | Lost |
934 | 995 | 41% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
924 | 1159 | 21% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
882 | 885 | 50% | 2019-03-11 | Lost |
1081 | 1037 | 56% | 2018-09-11 | Lost |
1120 | 1115 | 51% | 2018-07-31 | Won |
1283 | 905 | 90% | 2018-07-18 | Won |
882 | 1081 | 24% | 2017-02-22 | Lost |
985 | 1178 | 25% | 2016-09-21 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1001.7 vs 1023.7 has a 46.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).