Ace in the Hole
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (7 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1115 | 1000 | 66% | 2022-02-17 | Won |
980 | 935 | 56% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
975 | 1053 | 39% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
1000 | 862 | 69% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
1234 | 996 | 80% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
1154 | 1021 | 68% | 2017-04-28 | Lost |
943 | 1154 | 23% | 2016-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1057.3 vs 1003 has a 57.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).