Ace in the Hole
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (8 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
825 | 1033 | 23% | 2022-03-14 | Lost |
815 | 929 | 34% | 2022-02-17 | Won |
934 | 995 | 41% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
971 | 963 | 51% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
1081 | 980 | 64% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
1178 | 1135 | 56% | 2017-04-28 | Lost |
985 | 1178 | 25% | 2016-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 977 vs 1028.4 has a 42.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).