Devil's Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (15 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
883 | 971 | 38% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
1052 | 935 | 66% | 2021-12-25 | Lost |
935 | 856 | 61% | 2021-10-29 | Lost |
1073 | 963 | 65% | 2021-10-09 | Lost |
1159 | 935 | 78% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
934 | 995 | 41% | 2021-08-18 | Lost |
1115 | 1032 | 62% | 2021-06-30 | Lost |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
959 | 959 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
1051 | 959 | 63% | 2019-08-24 | Won |
881 | 1014 | 32% | 2019-07-07 | Lost |
933 | 1158 | 21% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2017-12-01 | Lost |
1014 | 1171 | 29% | 2017-02-06 | Lost |
934 | 1081 | 30% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 997.1 vs 1017.9 has a 47.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).