Gavin's Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (8 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / British): 12
Defender wins (German): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
960 | 1078 | 34% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
1009 | 1041 | 45% | 2023-03-15 | Won |
881 | 1024 | 31% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
995 | 934 | 59% | 2019-10-26 | Won |
1115 | 1074 | 56% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
1081 | 882 | 76% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
1081 | 882 | 76% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2017-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1016.1 vs 1017.5 has a 49.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).