Gavin's Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / British): 13
Defender wins (German): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 937 | 52% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 968 | 1017 | 43% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
| 907 | 965 | 42% | 2023-03-15 | Won |
| 881 | 977 | 37% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 1018 | 948 | 60% | 2019-10-26 | Won |
| 1094 | 1099 | 49% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1140 | 854 | 84% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1140 | 854 | 84% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2017-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1011.9 vs 986 has a 53.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).