Confusion Reigns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (13 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
983 | 983 | 50% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
1218 | 1109 | 65% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
917 | 1160 | 20% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
917 | 1159 | 20% | 2021-03-02 | Won |
1160 | 917 | 80% | 2021-03-01 | Won |
892 | 920 | 46% | 2021-02-08 | Lost |
1021 | 989 | 55% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
1090 | 917 | 73% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
940 | 967 | 46% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
1109 | 934 | 73% | 2016-12-06 | Won |
847 | 855 | 49% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
1092 | 1204 | 34% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1015.3 vs 1011.8 has a 50.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).