Tigers and Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (14 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (German): 46
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1074 | 1064 | 51% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
917 | 967 | 43% | 2020-09-01 | Won |
1071 | 946 | 67% | 2017-07-11 | Lost |
1071 | 946 | 67% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
1099 | 1045 | 58% | 2017-04-16 | Lost |
1129 | 941 | 75% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
968 | 1140 | 27% | 2016-11-21 | Lost |
1094 | 1087 | 51% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
1057 | 1216 | 29% | 2016-09-23 | Won |
1109 | 870 | 80% | 2016-09-21 | Won |
1034 | 890 | 70% | 2016-08-19 | Won |
1311 | 1044 | 82% | 2016-06-04 | Won |
1045 | 1100 | 42% | 2016-05-31 | Lost |
1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1085.9 vs 1030.5 has a 57.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).