Iron Greeting
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (28 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 62
Defender wins (Russian): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
955 | 942 | 52% | 2024-01-30 | Won |
1107 | 1187 | 39% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
1050 | 1044 | 51% | 2022-03-08 | Won |
985 | 944 | 56% | 2021-09-06 | Won |
986 | 1138 | 29% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
1103 | 1130 | 46% | 2020-12-18 | Won |
909 | 892 | 52% | 2020-06-12 | Won |
1038 | 1152 | 34% | 2019-12-15 | Won |
1123 | 1022 | 64% | 2019-10-06 | Won |
1097 | 1082 | 52% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
894 | 1068 | 27% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
1093 | 1053 | 56% | 2018-10-22 | Lost |
1007 | 969 | 55% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
1123 | 1022 | 64% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
991 | 1000 | 49% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
969 | 1017 | 43% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
933 | 1028 | 37% | 2017-02-17 | Lost |
1284 | 951 | 87% | 2017-01-16 | Won |
1397 | 1058 | 88% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
1275 | 1289 | 48% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
1183 | 1055 | 68% | 2016-08-10 | Won |
1289 | 1012 | 83% | 2016-07-29 | Won |
964 | 1025 | 41% | 2016-07-29 | Won |
974 | 1087 | 34% | 2016-07-09 | Lost |
1048 | 1149 | 36% | 2016-06-13 | Won |
1123 | 1249 | 33% | 2016-03-29 | Won |
1307 | 1082 | 79% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
889 | 1106 | 22% | 2016-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1074.9 vs 1062.6 has a 51.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).