Steel Garden
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (12 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Polish): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 866 | 74% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 1273 | 1218 | 58% | 2022-06-20 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1084 | 47% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 920 | 1009 | 37% | 2020-10-09 | Won |
| 982 | 1216 | 21% | 2020-03-04 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1050 | 63% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1140 | 1050 | 63% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 971 | 1242 | 17% | 2018-05-13 | Lost |
| 1153 | 932 | 78% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 963 | 1055 | 37% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
| 969 | 948 | 53% | 2016-06-23 | Won |
| 1118 | 1118 | 50% | 2014-03-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1061.4 vs 1065.7 has a 49.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).