Heart of Athena
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 22
Defender wins (Partisans): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
924 | 911 | 52% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
867 | 880 | 48% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
881 | 948 | 40% | 2019-02-10 | Lost |
1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
929 | 1063 | 32% | 2017-10-05 | Won |
1022 | 1105 | 38% | 2017-05-17 | Won |
975 | 948 | 54% | 2016-09-09 | Won |
1019 | 1100 | 39% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
960 | 948 | 52% | 2016-06-25 | Lost |
1183 | 1274 | 37% | 2016-03-20 | Won |
945 | 937 | 51% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 981.1 vs 1010.4 has a 45.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).