Red Churchills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (12 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 18
Defender wins (Finnish): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
961 | 899 | 59% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2024-01-06 | Lost |
1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2021-04-18 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
865 | 780 | 62% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
1095 | 958 | 69% | 2018-05-01 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
975 | 989 | 48% | 2016-09-17 | Lost |
1108 | 1085 | 53% | 2016-08-06 | Lost |
1089 | 1063 | 54% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1029.4 vs 1056.6 has a 46.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).