Red Churchills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (12 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (Finnish): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1179 | 1179 | 50% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
948 | 899 | 57% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2024-01-06 | Lost |
1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2021-04-18 | Won |
1040 | 1063 | 47% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
865 | 857 | 51% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
1074 | 1006 | 60% | 2018-05-01 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
973 | 985 | 48% | 2016-09-17 | Lost |
1055 | 1096 | 44% | 2016-08-06 | Lost |
1088 | 1069 | 53% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1040.3 vs 1034.8 has a 50.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).