Red Churchills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (15 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (Finnish): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 1066 | 32% | 2024-09-30 | Lost |
| 1055 | 796 | 82% | 2024-08-14 | Won |
| 1204 | 1204 | 50% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 885 | 873 | 52% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2024-01-06 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 983 | 1145 | 28% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-04-18 | Won |
| 1101 | 1056 | 56% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
| 867 | 880 | 48% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1099 | 984 | 66% | 2018-05-01 | Lost |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 977 | 1022 | 44% | 2016-09-17 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1083 | 41% | 2016-08-06 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1063 | 53% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1043.8 vs 1014.7 has a 54.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).