Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 240 (40 on the archive and 200 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British/American): 125
Defender wins (German): 114
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
884 | 925 | 44% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
922 | 961 | 44% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
948 | 925 | 53% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
1360 | 996 | 89% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
994 | 1058 | 41% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
1041 | 1084 | 44% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
1032 | 1175 | 31% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
1000 | 1168 | 28% | 2021-03-29 | Won |
1072 | 986 | 62% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
948 | 1078 | 32% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2019-10-15 | Won |
1032 | 804 | 79% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
1307 | 1039 | 82% | 2019-02-05 | Won |
1307 | 911 | 91% | 2018-11-28 | Won |
1307 | 1028 | 83% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
998 | 1028 | 46% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
870 | 1109 | 20% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
1010 | 1068 | 42% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
1095 | 1116 | 47% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
1002 | 1013 | 48% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2017-12-10 | Lost |
925 | 983 | 42% | 2017-06-28 | Lost |
987 | 1027 | 44% | 2017-06-03 | Lost |
979 | 963 | 52% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
1087 | 984 | 64% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
1008 | 894 | 66% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
1109 | 971 | 69% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
1307 | 992 | 86% | 2017-01-05 | Tied |
959 | 1090 | 32% | 2016-12-01 | Won |
1144 | 983 | 72% | 2016-11-07 | Won |
983 | 1144 | 28% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
1008 | 975 | 55% | 2016-10-02 | Won |
1089 | 1175 | 38% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
1197 | 928 | 82% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
1284 | 889 | 91% | 2016-07-07 | Won |
1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2016-06-29 | Won |
1050 | 1129 | 39% | 2016-06-21 | Won |
1225 | 1106 | 66% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
896 | 959 | 41% | 2016-03-26 | Won |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1065.2 vs 1024.8 has a 55.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).