Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 258 (41 on the archive and 217 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British/American): 139
Defender wins (German): 118
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1051 | 1032 | 53% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
883 | 1027 | 30% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
922 | 948 | 46% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
961 | 1027 | 41% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
1398 | 1014 | 90% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
994 | 1024 | 46% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
1023 | 1084 | 41% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
1037 | 1147 | 35% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
991 | 1117 | 33% | 2021-03-29 | Won |
1073 | 960 | 66% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
948 | 1036 | 38% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
1133 | 1103 | 54% | 2019-10-15 | Won |
1047 | 784 | 82% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
1323 | 1034 | 84% | 2019-02-05 | Won |
1323 | 908 | 92% | 2018-11-28 | Won |
1323 | 1031 | 84% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
1025 | 1028 | 50% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
867 | 1081 | 23% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
1010 | 1068 | 42% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
1090 | 1117 | 46% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
1002 | 1009 | 49% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
1081 | 1081 | 50% | 2017-12-10 | Lost |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2017-06-28 | Lost |
934 | 995 | 41% | 2017-06-03 | Lost |
979 | 963 | 52% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
1097 | 984 | 66% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
1007 | 893 | 66% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
1081 | 980 | 64% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
1323 | 992 | 87% | 2017-01-05 | Tied |
963 | 1091 | 32% | 2016-12-01 | Won |
1171 | 1014 | 71% | 2016-11-07 | Won |
1014 | 1171 | 29% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
1000 | 973 | 54% | 2016-10-02 | Won |
1088 | 1159 | 40% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
1214 | 928 | 84% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
1283 | 889 | 91% | 2016-07-07 | Won |
1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2016-06-29 | Won |
1046 | 1114 | 40% | 2016-06-21 | Won |
1225 | 1190 | 55% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
896 | 963 | 40% | 2016-03-26 | Won |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1068.8 vs 1025.3 has a 56.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).