The Golden Arrow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (12 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 35
Defender wins (German): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 934 | 1018 | 38% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 1218 | 765 | 93% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1064 | 1076 | 48% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 982 | 1216 | 21% | 2019-06-09 | Lost |
| 938 | 1045 | 35% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
| 980 | 1087 | 35% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 953 | 1140 | 25% | 2017-08-17 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1130 | 50% | 2017-06-13 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1009 | 58% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 1310 | 1044 | 82% | 2017-04-25 | Won |
| 1063 | 1032 | 54% | 2016-01-05 | Won |
| 1063 | 1032 | 54% | 2016-01-05 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1058.3 vs 1049.5 has a 51.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).