The Golden Arrow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (11 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 36
Defender wins (German): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
1211 | 779 | 92% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
1016 | 1283 | 18% | 2019-06-09 | Lost |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
980 | 1138 | 29% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
960 | 1109 | 30% | 2017-08-17 | Lost |
1133 | 1090 | 56% | 2017-06-13 | Lost |
1069 | 1010 | 58% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
1307 | 1061 | 80% | 2017-04-25 | Won |
1069 | 1032 | 55% | 2016-01-05 | Won |
1069 | 1032 | 55% | 2016-01-05 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1069.1 vs 1054.5 has a 52.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).