Matira's Secret
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1273 | 1130 | 69% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1130 | 30% | 2018-03-27 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1148 | 35% | 2016-12-01 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1024 | 71% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 941 | 1018 | 39% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1077 | 48% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
| 973 | 1310 | 13% | 2015-12-05 | Lost |
| 981 | 837 | 70% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 889 | 1044 | 29% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 981 | 1216 | 21% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1030.7 vs 1093.4 has a 41.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).