Esebeck's Pursuit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (5 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (French): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1090 | 1001 | 63% | 2019-11-07 | Won |
1097 | 980 | 66% | 2019-07-22 | Lost |
1006 | 1097 | 37% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
1090 | 994 | 63% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
1214 | 1330 | 34% | 2015-11-11 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1099.4 vs 1080.4 has a 52.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).