Flaming Star
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (7 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 20
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1090 | 897 | 75% | 2018-12-05 | Won |
1081 | 867 | 77% | 2018-07-11 | Won |
1018 | 1090 | 40% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
1097 | 1124 | 46% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
934 | 1275 | 12% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2016-09-21 | Lost |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1067.4 vs 1062.6 has a 50.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).