Second City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (12 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (Hungarian / German): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
984 | 959 | 54% | 2021-08-08 | Lost |
1011 | 1014 | 50% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
934 | 1159 | 21% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
1052 | 1052 | 50% | 2020-08-26 | Won |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
1030 | 989 | 56% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
1032 | 1040 | 49% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
963 | 896 | 60% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
1225 | 1147 | 61% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
1190 | 1214 | 47% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
1354 | 887 | 94% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
1057 | 1006 | 57% | 2015-09-06 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1071.6 vs 1031.4 has a 55.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).