Lagus Assault Guns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (25 on the archive and 95 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (Finnish): 85
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1027 | 908 | 66% | 2024-03-16 | Won |
919 | 929 | 49% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2023-12-22 | Lost |
963 | 864 | 64% | 2021-07-23 | Lost |
1323 | 1157 | 72% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
1149 | 1178 | 46% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
1081 | 1109 | 46% | 2018-03-12 | Won |
1109 | 1081 | 54% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
1045 | 1158 | 34% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
1242 | 1094 | 70% | 2017-12-03 | Lost |
1202 | 1122 | 61% | 2017-06-12 | Lost |
967 | 1046 | 39% | 2017-01-08 | Lost |
934 | 995 | 41% | 2016-09-30 | Lost |
1283 | 889 | 91% | 2016-05-05 | Won |
1071 | 1103 | 45% | 2016-02-06 | Lost |
896 | 977 | 39% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
857 | 963 | 35% | 2015-12-07 | Lost |
1097 | 1135 | 45% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
861 | 1000 | 31% | 2015-05-27 | Lost |
886 | 1078 | 25% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
1035 | 1019 | 52% | 2015-04-14 | Lost |
1088 | 1057 | 54% | 2015-04-04 | Lost |
1014 | 1171 | 29% | 2015-04-04 | Lost |
934 | 961 | 46% | 2015-03-12 | Won |
1027 | 1152 | 33% | 2015-02-05 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1041.5 vs 1046.4 has a 49.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).