Anabasis
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (14 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (Finnish): 14
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2024-11-09 | Won |
| 1136 | 1204 | 40% | 2024-05-27 | Won |
| 1075 | 1086 | 48% | 2023-12-03 | Won |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2023-09-18 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1074 | 65% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1282 | 945 | 87% | 2021-10-23 | Won |
| 1213 | 945 | 82% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1051 | 969 | 62% | 2021-02-24 | Won |
| 1266 | 1047 | 78% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1080 | 1202 | 33% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 879 | 945 | 41% | 2017-02-25 | Lost |
| 956 | 1035 | 39% | 2016-04-16 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1109 | 40% | 2015-07-05 | Won |
| 1122 | 1016 | 65% | 2015-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1094.6 vs 1046.4 has a 56.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).