Anabasis
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (9 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 15
Defender wins (Finnish): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Finnish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1060 | 1073 | 48% | 2023-12-03 | Won |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2023-09-18 | Lost |
1133 | 1029 | 65% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
1211 | 1003 | 77% | 2021-10-23 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
998 | 977 | 53% | 2021-02-02 | Won |
1273 | 994 | 83% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
881 | 1003 | 33% | 2017-02-25 | Lost |
972 | 1035 | 41% | 2016-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1073 vs 1005.4 has a 59.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).