Forest Bastion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (15 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1030 | 989 | 56% | 2022-10-07 | Lost |
995 | 934 | 59% | 2021-02-20 | Won |
1104 | 1115 | 48% | 2020-11-11 | Lost |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
1103 | 1071 | 55% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
1009 | 997 | 52% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
1009 | 997 | 52% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
1014 | 881 | 68% | 2019-07-10 | Tied |
973 | 1000 | 46% | 2018-04-14 | Lost |
1171 | 1014 | 71% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
1014 | 1242 | 21% | 2017-12-17 | Lost |
994 | 1168 | 27% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
1067 | 1162 | 37% | 2015-08-07 | Lost |
1093 | 1091 | 50% | 2015-05-09 | Lost |
825 | 969 | 30% | 2015-04-10 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1028.5 vs 1042.9 has a 47.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).