Forest Bastion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (14 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2022-10-07 | Lost |
1049 | 1006 | 56% | 2021-02-20 | Won |
1104 | 1115 | 48% | 2020-11-11 | Lost |
925 | 1006 | 39% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
1142 | 1052 | 63% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
1013 | 988 | 54% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
1013 | 988 | 54% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
1006 | 881 | 67% | 2019-07-10 | Tied |
975 | 989 | 48% | 2018-04-14 | Lost |
1144 | 1006 | 69% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
1006 | 1242 | 20% | 2017-12-17 | Lost |
992 | 1150 | 29% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
1067 | 1162 | 37% | 2015-08-07 | Lost |
1092 | 1090 | 50% | 2015-05-09 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1039.6 vs 1047.7 has a 48.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).