The Rimling Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (8 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 9
Defender wins (American): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1078 | 1093 | 48% | 2023-11-10 | Tied |
1166 | 1224 | 42% | 2020-01-05 | Lost |
1000 | 1018 | 47% | 2019-10-27 | Won |
1107 | 1125 | 47% | 2016-03-08 | Lost |
982 | 1044 | 41% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
1171 | 1224 | 42% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
1135 | 1055 | 61% | 2015-03-01 | Won |
1397 | 936 | 93% | 2014-12-18 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1129.5 vs 1089.9 has a 55.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).