Mile Peg 61
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (13 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 23
Defender wins (Australian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1161 | 1029 | 68% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1041 | 1014 | 54% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 979 | 1039 | 41% | 2018-07-10 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1159 | 46% | 2018-01-27 | Lost |
| 977 | 1121 | 30% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 946 | 1131 | 26% | 2017-05-10 | Lost |
| 946 | 1131 | 26% | 2016-02-05 | Won |
| 1120 | 988 | 68% | 2015-10-10 | Won |
| 989 | 1002 | 48% | 2015-09-05 | Lost |
| 1212 | 946 | 82% | 2015-06-21 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1015 | 53% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
| 1060 | 939 | 67% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 890 | 1128 | 20% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1037.5 vs 1049.4 has a 48.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).