City on the Edge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (19 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (American): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1144 | 964 | 74% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 1013 | 954 | 58% | 2025-02-28 | Won |
| 985 | 1048 | 41% | 2025-01-17 | Won |
| 892 | 1078 | 26% | 2025-01-08 | Won |
| 1117 | 1080 | 55% | 2022-11-27 | Won |
| 954 | 1013 | 42% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2022-02-24 | Won |
| 1127 | 1240 | 34% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1020 | 967 | 58% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 1050 | 43% | 2021-11-21 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1000 | 57% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 936 | 1000 | 41% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 1099 | 1007 | 63% | 2020-12-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1104 | 51% | 2020-10-21 | Won |
| 1201 | 1000 | 76% | 2017-03-10 | Won |
| 1081 | 1081 | 50% | 2015-04-17 | Won |
| 983 | 968 | 52% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 1070 | 1107 | 45% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1040.4 vs 1036.4 has a 50.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).