Operation Natzmer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (22 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1094 | 944 | 70% | 2022-11-07 | Won |
1094 | 944 | 70% | 2022-11-07 | Won |
1094 | 944 | 70% | 2022-11-07 | Won |
1094 | 944 | 70% | 2022-11-07 | Won |
966 | 1003 | 45% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
987 | 989 | 50% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
1057 | 1073 | 48% | 2021-07-10 | Won |
981 | 1026 | 44% | 2021-07-10 | Won |
990 | 1014 | 47% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
1003 | 1039 | 45% | 2020-11-07 | Won |
945 | 1431 | 6% | 2020-10-21 | Lost |
1126 | 1137 | 48% | 2020-07-04 | Won |
1043 | 964 | 61% | 2020-04-17 | Lost |
966 | 1122 | 29% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2018-12-16 | Lost |
1003 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-02-02 | Won |
1111 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-10-20 | Lost |
1431 | 1147 | 84% | 2015-01-18 | Won |
1001 | 1001 | 50% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
977 | 1003 | 46% | 2013-11-04 | Won |
1431 | 1178 | 81% | 2013-10-28 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1068.6 vs 1051.5 has a 52.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).