Severnaya Serenade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (5 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1054 | 1048 | 51% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
1169 | 784 | 90% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
1075 | 1092 | 48% | 2021-07-24 | Won |
976 | 1128 | 29% | 2014-11-14 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1070.4 vs 1011 has a 58.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).