Severnaya Serenade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (6 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1072 | 51% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 780 | 78% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 1159 | 1125 | 55% | 2021-07-24 | Won |
| 983 | 1199 | 22% | 2014-11-14 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2013-06-20 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1012 | 71% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1083.8 vs 1040.7 has a 56.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).