Tropic Lightning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (16 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 38
Defender wins (Japanese): 50
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2024-03-10 | Lost |
1327 | 1094 | 79% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
1049 | 1015 | 55% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
948 | 1198 | 19% | 2020-12-28 | Lost |
1128 | 1109 | 53% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
1087 | 1154 | 40% | 2018-11-29 | Lost |
964 | 1095 | 32% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
890 | 1109 | 22% | 2017-09-06 | Lost |
1128 | 1095 | 55% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
816 | 1095 | 17% | 2014-04-07 | Won |
989 | 975 | 52% | 2013-12-14 | Won |
1027 | 1050 | 47% | 2013-07-16 | Lost |
963 | 924 | 56% | 2013-06-14 | Lost |
1142 | 1172 | 46% | 2013-01-19 | Lost |
1088 | 1068 | 53% | 2012-12-23 | Lost |
1083 | 865 | 78% | 2012-11-17 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1047.5 vs 1071.8 has a 46.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).