Cradle to Grave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (19 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 37
Defender wins (American / FFI): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1050 | 1040 | 51% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
1107 | 1112 | 49% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
1183 | 1049 | 68% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
1183 | 1055 | 68% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
1085 | 1000 | 62% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
1013 | 1249 | 20% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
1055 | 1183 | 32% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
1013 | 964 | 57% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
1005 | 889 | 66% | 2017-02-23 | Won |
1115 | 1099 | 52% | 2014-01-29 | Won |
996 | 1049 | 42% | 2013-11-16 | Lost |
1034 | 1055 | 47% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
986 | 973 | 52% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
1097 | 1055 | 56% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
1098 | 870 | 79% | 2013-01-20 | Won |
1047 | 1057 | 49% | 2013-01-13 | Won |
1135 | 997 | 69% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
1102 | 1006 | 63% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1070.6 vs 1038.9 has a 54.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).