Messenger Boys
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 106 (15 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 48
Defender wins (German (SS)): 58
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1398 | 815 | 97% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
1090 | 954 | 69% | 2021-01-18 | Lost |
1078 | 1008 | 60% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
948 | 919 | 54% | 2020-02-14 | Lost |
856 | 1178 | 14% | 2017-09-23 | Lost |
1105 | 1068 | 55% | 2014-04-07 | Won |
987 | 1025 | 45% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
1220 | 1323 | 36% | 2013-08-14 | Lost |
987 | 1074 | 38% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2013-02-28 | Won |
973 | 1000 | 46% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
973 | 1000 | 46% | 2013-02-06 | Lost |
1018 | 1027 | 49% | 2012-12-28 | Won |
1097 | 869 | 79% | 2012-12-02 | Lost |
963 | 1088 | 33% | 2012-11-19 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1047 vs 1023.2 has a 53.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).