A Misstep in Lorraine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (3 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1028 | 1055 | 46% | 2018-07-04 | Won |
1058 | 1087 | 46% | 2013-11-21 | Won |
1050 | 986 | 59% | 2012-08-25 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1045.3 vs 1042.7 has a 50.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).