Tough Enough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1311 | 1069 | 80% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
1283 | 979 | 85% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
1026 | 1211 | 26% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
1307 | 1038 | 82% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
1090 | 1145 | 42% | 2016-03-28 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2016-01-13 | Tied |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
1032 | 1048 | 48% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
1014 | 1054 | 44% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
1055 | 1051 | 51% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
1047 | 986 | 59% | 2012-09-07 | Lost |
1003 | 1141 | 31% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
900 | 943 | 44% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1107.1 vs 1048.1 has a 58.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).