A Frosty Morning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 11
Defender wins (British): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
1398 | 999 | 91% | 2023-06-10 | Won |
1047 | 1018 | 54% | 2021-03-08 | Won |
920 | 948 | 46% | 2021-03-01 | Won |
1117 | 1131 | 48% | 2021-02-19 | Won |
947 | 1057 | 35% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
1046 | 979 | 60% | 2020-09-01 | Lost |
971 | 963 | 51% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
1272 | 1178 | 63% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
1081 | 1081 | 50% | 2017-12-17 | Lost |
972 | 1090 | 34% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
1090 | 856 | 79% | 2015-10-30 | Won |
1071 | 1103 | 45% | 2014-04-05 | Lost |
1044 | 1058 | 48% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
1097 | 1323 | 21% | 2013-10-28 | Lost |
1398 | 1114 | 84% | 2013-06-15 | Won |
1135 | 1105 | 54% | 2013-06-15 | Won |
1068 | 1105 | 45% | 2013-04-08 | Lost |
1190 | 1225 | 45% | 2013-02-22 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1098.9 vs 1071 has a 54.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).