A Frosty Morning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (19 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 31
Defender wins (British): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
1360 | 1351 | 51% | 2023-06-10 | Won |
1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2021-03-08 | Won |
920 | 961 | 44% | 2021-03-01 | Won |
1168 | 1183 | 48% | 2021-02-19 | Won |
957 | 1083 | 33% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
1050 | 980 | 60% | 2020-09-01 | Lost |
970 | 959 | 52% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
1272 | 1198 | 60% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2017-12-17 | Lost |
972 | 1095 | 33% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
1095 | 838 | 81% | 2015-10-30 | Won |
1052 | 1142 | 37% | 2014-04-05 | Lost |
1044 | 1049 | 49% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
1085 | 1307 | 22% | 2013-10-28 | Lost |
1360 | 1115 | 80% | 2013-06-15 | Won |
1181 | 1105 | 61% | 2013-06-15 | Won |
1068 | 1105 | 45% | 2013-04-08 | Lost |
1106 | 1225 | 34% | 2013-02-22 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1096.8 vs 1097 has a 49.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).