A Frosty Morning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 13
Defender wins (British): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1055 | 51% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 1055 | 1103 | 43% | 2024-11-19 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
| 1400 | 1103 | 85% | 2023-06-10 | Won |
| 1041 | 1023 | 53% | 2021-03-08 | Won |
| 916 | 885 | 54% | 2021-03-01 | Won |
| 920 | 944 | 47% | 2021-02-19 | Won |
| 952 | 1063 | 35% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1057 | 981 | 61% | 2020-09-01 | Lost |
| 960 | 937 | 53% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
| 1271 | 1140 | 68% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-12-17 | Lost |
| 972 | 1130 | 29% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1033 | 64% | 2015-10-30 | Won |
| 1028 | 1118 | 37% | 2014-04-05 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1077 | 45% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 1108 | 1310 | 24% | 2013-10-28 | Lost |
| 1400 | 1114 | 84% | 2013-06-15 | Won |
| 1114 | 1100 | 52% | 2013-06-15 | Won |
| 1067 | 1100 | 45% | 2013-04-08 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1223 | 44% | 2013-02-22 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1085.1 vs 1073.5 has a 51.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).