Crossfire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1048 | 1120 | 40% | 2024-04-04 | Lost |
1029 | 954 | 61% | 2022-05-21 | Lost |
948 | 943 | 51% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2021-09-11 | Lost |
1169 | 1132 | 55% | 2021-09-09 | Lost |
1122 | 1067 | 58% | 2021-04-12 | Won |
1311 | 1209 | 64% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
1067 | 1014 | 58% | 2015-10-23 | Tied |
979 | 1283 | 15% | 2015-06-08 | Lost |
1015 | 1035 | 47% | 2015-02-02 | Lost |
1032 | 1003 | 54% | 2014-06-22 | Lost |
1025 | 1068 | 44% | 2013-10-20 | Lost |
963 | 1068 | 35% | 2012-12-23 | Lost |
1022 | 1019 | 50% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
1189 | 985 | 76% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
1005 | 1138 | 32% | 2012-08-31 | Lost |
1114 | 1105 | 51% | 2012-08-01 | Lost |
1086 | 943 | 69% | 2012-04-20 | Won |
933 | 920 | 52% | 2012-03-19 | Lost |
1090 | 815 | 83% | 2012-02-21 | Lost |
1005 | 938 | 60% | 2012-02-11 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1055.5 vs 1036.3 has a 52.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).