Crossfire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 1195 | 32% | 2024-04-04 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1055 | 72% | 2022-07-28 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1010 | 58% | 2022-05-21 | Lost |
| 872 | 1064 | 25% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 872 | 894 | 47% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 987 | 1033 | 43% | 2021-09-11 | Lost |
| 938 | 905 | 55% | 2021-09-09 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1058 | 57% | 2021-04-12 | Won |
| 1310 | 1174 | 69% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
| 1054 | 987 | 60% | 2015-10-23 | Tied |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2015-06-08 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1038 | 47% | 2015-02-02 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1048 | 48% | 2014-06-22 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1066 | 44% | 2013-10-20 | Lost |
| 962 | 1066 | 35% | 2012-12-23 | Lost |
| 1022 | 945 | 61% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 1215 | 1023 | 75% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
| 1009 | 1050 | 44% | 2012-08-31 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1099 | 52% | 2012-08-01 | Lost |
| 1094 | 966 | 68% | 2012-04-20 | Won |
| 898 | 920 | 47% | 2012-03-19 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1141 | 49% | 2012-02-21 | Lost |
| 1005 | 929 | 61% | 2012-02-11 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1043.6 vs 1038.5 has a 50.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).