Ivanovskii
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 996 | 56% | 2025-03-24 | Won |
| 1004 | 1025 | 47% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
| 905 | 1108 | 24% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 950 | 1061 | 35% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 921 | 1079 | 29% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 1010 | 937 | 60% | 2023-04-22 | Won |
| 1064 | 1029 | 55% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1050 | 65% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1302 | 1014 | 84% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 974 | 913 | 59% | 2021-01-10 | Won |
| 902 | 872 | 54% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 971 | 952 | 53% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1040 | 46% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1024 | 1225 | 24% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 1302 | 1169 | 68% | 2012-05-04 | Won |
| 966 | 870 | 63% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1098 | 979 | 66% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1302 | 1096 | 77% | 2011-12-27 | Won |
| 1050 | 1001 | 57% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
| 994 | 966 | 54% | 2011-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1052.5 vs 1016.6 has a 55.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).