Hotly Contested Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (10 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 907 | 1097 | 25% | 2026-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 918 | 74% | 2023-04-08 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1015 | 43% | 2022-04-15 | | Lost |
| 967 | 904 | 59% | 2021-10-22 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1105 | 49% | 2019-11-10 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2019-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1000 | 56% | 2018-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 970 | 72% | 2017-09-12 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1060 | 71% | 2016-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2014-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1065.8 vs 1029.5 has a 55.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).