Hotly Contested Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 968 | 57% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 880 | 1011 | 32% | 2022-04-15 | Lost |
| 880 | 970 | 37% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
| 1140 | 1091 | 57% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1223 | 944 | 83% | 2019-08-13 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1102 | 46% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 1140 | 968 | 73% | 2017-09-12 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1057 | 71% | 2016-03-04 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2014-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1082.7 vs 1037.1 has a 56.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).